Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 10.122663 11.916126 13.883639 16.195441 18.830189 21.732089 25.162482
2025-03-23 7.298886 9.767239 12.772453 16.665422 21.535927 27.386374 34.899118
2025-03-30 5.776956 8.567457 12.255408 17.403255 24.306772 33.137762 45.163025
2025-04-06 4.413870 7.182702 11.119031 16.981920 25.322103 36.564698 52.626461
2025-04-13 3.330914 5.918970 9.857877 16.083399 25.420720 38.602428 58.236019
2025-04-20 2.929371 5.593290 9.876706 16.972490 28.062776 44.284107 69.220704
2025-04-27 2.654731 5.409601 10.062590 18.096658 31.111562 50.736833 81.728515
2025-05-04 2.297094 5.003294 9.807566 18.453245 32.962663 55.501463 92.031565
2025-05-11 1.939770 4.520715 9.337634 18.368444 34.056839 59.137779 100.814343
2025-05-18 1.613268 4.027075 8.763942 18.011902 34.629146 61.944208 108.432018
2025-05-25 1.348222 3.601867 8.246691 17.676000 35.172556 64.697150 116.082509
2025-06-01 1.125396 3.218410 7.746982 17.298069 35.579962 67.214403 123.455651
2025-06-08 0.856385 2.672993 6.853226 16.100087 34.490943 67.304516 127.164192
2025-06-15 0.762245 2.543756 6.838169 16.680260 36.813577 73.546044 141.812241
2025-06-22 0.691383 2.458230 6.906655 17.441521 39.554785 80.725676 158.536834
2025-06-29 0.564225 2.174893 6.458237 17.023760 39.915281 83.601238 167.862900
2025-07-06 0.438163 1.849740 5.838357 16.124146 39.184294 84.369269 173.423795
2025-07-13 0.407997 1.825264 5.985767 17.015328 42.268230 92.553439 192.966210
2025-07-20 0.388755 1.833091 6.220804 18.141955 45.947344 102.103822 215.531538
2025-07-27 0.344435 1.735568 6.146264 18.499314 47.975428 108.541933 232.589434
2025-08-03 0.292991 1.591404 5.909274 18.414332 49.005215 113.051275 246.210863
2025-08-10 0.242620 1.429991 5.585932 18.057025 49.372536 116.228959 257.413881
2025-08-17 0.200998 1.287031 5.287622 17.720400 49.746954 119.429281 268.810253